BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Texas has collapsed: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-80%Since 1969
197Routes In State
57Years

Notable Orchard Oriole Trends in Texas

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has collapsed in Texas: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Orchard Oriole Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Texas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.95 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±120.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.695% range
±120.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.010.001.6
20260.000.001.6
20270.000.001.6
20280.000.001.6
20290.000.001.6

Orchard Oriole Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Texas.
Indianola2620231973
Eldorado1920231976
San Saba1120241969
Smyrna1120101995
Harper1020241969
Smyrna 21020232011
Union Hill920241994
Massey Lake720241970
Longfellow720241968
Alexander St720241995
Catarina620071970
Diboll620241968
Mertzon620191967
Circle620241993
Ozona620221975
Easton620131994
Pumpville620242006
Prairie Mtn.520241994
Big Sandy Bith520242015
Easton 2520242014
Zapata419701968
Muldoon420081997
Boerne420241967
Morton420241970
Fannin420062002

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.