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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

Orchard Oriole in Georgia has declined: down 41% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-41%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
108Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Orchard Oriole Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Orchard Oriole in Georgia. See the full index history below.

Orchard Oriole Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Georgia is projected to fall about 22% by 2030 — from 3.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.5–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.8Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.5–4.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±7.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Georgia is projected to fall about 22% by 2030 — from 3.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.8 (95% range 1.5–4.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.91.64.2
20272.91.64.2
20282.81.54.2
20292.81.54.1
20302.81.54.1

Orchard Oriole Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Maxeys2520241966
Lincolnton 22120252018
Workmore1420251978
Boston1320251975
Wadley1220251978
Guyton1119931966
Wrightsville1120251966
Rentz1120251977
Hollonville920031973
Dover920251976
Rock Branch920252005
Sharon 2920252023
Baxley820191966
Crest720251973
Bowdon720251973
Tazewell720251967
Metasville720001997
Colonels Island720232005
Athens620251966
Rutledge620251977
Deepstep620231975
White Hill620252005
Carrs Station620252008
Yates Crossroads620252005
Fowlstown520161967

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.