BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Virginia

All statesGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Virginia has risen sharply: up 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+62%Since 1968
74Routes In State
58Years

Notable Orchard Oriole Trends in Virginia

long arc increasecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has risen sharply in Virginia: up 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Orchard Oriole Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Virginia is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 1.5–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029
2.4Projected 2029 index
1.5–3.395% range
±22.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.41.53.3
20262.41.53.3
20272.41.53.3
20282.41.53.3
20292.41.53.3

Orchard Oriole Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Virginia.
Cape Charles1120181992
Taylorstown820071967
Brodnax820241973
Clinchport719781974
Marion719771976
Saltville720241969
Chincoteag W720241992
Blacksburg720241988
Amherst520241967
Shipman520241969
Concord520241967
Ringgold520241986
Finchley520171994
Brandon520241992
Port Royal420191977
Branchville420241966
Gladys420241994
Churchville320241973
Stanley320221968
Covington320111987
Mannboro320241971
Quinby320241966
Newsoms320241968
Backbay319741966
Appomattox320241996

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.