Species · Maryland · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Maryland
Orchard Oriole in Maryland has surged: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+114%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years
Notable Orchard Oriole Trends in Maryland
long arc increasecomputed index
Orchard Oriole has surged in Maryland: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Orchard Oriole Population Forecast in Maryland
If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Maryland is projected to rise about 45% by 2029 — from 3.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.3 (95% range 3.2–7.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+45%Change by 2029
5.3Projected 2029 index
3.2–7.595% range
±44.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 7.3 |
| 2026 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 7.4 |
| 2027 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 7.4 |
| 2028 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 7.4 |
| 2029 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 7.5 |
Orchard Oriole Survey Routes in Maryland
| Cokesbury | 18 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Honga | 15 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Ijamsville | 15 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Madison | 11 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Walnut | 11 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Tall Timbers | 9 | 2014 | 1966 |
| Fruitland | 9 | 1998 | 1966 |
| Cheltenham | 8 | 2004 | 1966 |
| Forest Grove | 8 | 2023 | 2011 |
| Fair Hill | 8 | 1996 | 1992 |
| Earlton | 7 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Smithsburg | 6 | 2014 | 1970 |
| Olney | 6 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Jones | 6 | 1994 | 1966 |
| Vienna | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Emmitsburg | 5 | 2024 | 1966 |
| La Plata | 5 | 2009 | 1967 |
| Matthews | 5 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Snow Hill | 5 | 1976 | 1966 |
| Indiantown | 5 | 2014 | 1977 |
| Madonna | 5 | 2022 | 2009 |
| Nottingham | 5 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Wolfsville | 4 | 2023 | 1974 |
| Silver Spg | 4 | 1989 | 1966 |
| Warfieldsbrg | 4 | 2018 | 1966 |
Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.