BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Ohio

All statesGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Ohio has surged: up 377% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+377%Since 1968
84Routes In State
58Years

Notable Orchard Oriole Trends in Ohio

long arc increasecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has surged in Ohio: up 377% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Orchard Oriole Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Ohio is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 1.2–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
1.2–2.295% range
±16.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.61.12.1
20261.61.12.1
20271.61.12.1
20281.61.22.1
20291.71.22.2

Orchard Oriole Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Ohio.
Omega1120241970
Dresden820241974
Rome820241968
Stonecreek820241996
Ash Ridge720211992
Bismark619951971
Troy619951995
Kenton620131981
Keene620231992
Cumberland520171966
Baxter Ridge420231998
Birmingham420241988
Dunlap319881967
Xenia319691968
New Marshfld320241969
Coal Run319921967
Botkins220191992
Cosmos219991966
Lattasburg220241992
Fulton220241971
Smithfield220241972
Wilmington219961967
Port William220221997
Lockport120221988
Napoleon120241971

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.