BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Florida

All statesGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Florida has collapsed: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-79%Since 1968
57Routes In State
58Years

Notable Orchard Oriole Trends in Florida

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has collapsed in Florida: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Orchard Oriole Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Florida is projected to rise about 137% by 2029 — from 0.46 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.00–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±215.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+137%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.995% range
±215.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.003.0
20261.20.002.9
20271.10.002.9
20281.10.002.9
20291.10.002.9

Orchard Oriole Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Florida.
Lovedale6020111987
New Hope1920112009
Seminole Hls920001967
Telogia919851968
Santa Rosa720021987
Miller Xrds720191987
Broad Branch620241968
Nixon519851985
Blountstown420241966
Laurel Hill420242010
Blackwater420221988
St Augustine319931967
St Vincent I320241995
Hixtown Swmp320191987
Pinetta320241987
Osceola320051992
Oak Grove220161967
Mossy Head220111966
Port St Joe220131969
Hilliard220241966
Mabel220061990
Scottsmoor220061992
Eglin A.F.B.220101997
Ft Lonesome219871987
Doctor Inlet219931967

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.