BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesGeneralists

Orchard Oriole in Arkansas has collapsed: down 79% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-79%Since 1969
56Routes In State
57Years

Notable Orchard Oriole Trends in Arkansas

long arc declinecomputed index

Orchard Oriole has collapsed in Arkansas: down 78% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Orchard Oriole Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Arkansas is projected to fall about 68% by 2029 — from 1.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.54 (95% range 0.00–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±54.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-68%Change by 2029
0.54Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.595% range
±54.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.10.004.0
20260.950.003.9
20270.820.003.8
20280.680.003.6
20290.540.003.5

Orchard Oriole Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Orchard Oriole in Arkansas.
Kelso2520162010
South Bend2320231967
Ravenden Springs1420152010
Ashdown920231967
Saffell920191967
Hughes820231967
Centerton820112010
Nance820231992
Lockesburg720192010
Princeton720141998
Augusta 2720162002
Stamps620191967
Gillett620242010
Eudora520161967
Blakely519991968
Augusta520011967
Stark520241967
Havana520212010
Locust Bayou420231967
Hope420241967
Coal Hill420231971
Maynard420241967
Compton420221967
Wilson420231993
Crows319911967

Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Other States

alabamacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.