Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Oklahoma
Orchard Oriole in Oklahoma has collapsed: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-80%Since 1969
64Routes In State
57Years
Notable Orchard Oriole Trends in Oklahoma
long arc declinecomputed index
Orchard Oriole has collapsed in Oklahoma: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Orchard Oriole Population Forecast in Oklahoma
If the recent trend holds, Orchard Oriole in Oklahoma is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.66 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±163.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.395% range
±163.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.3 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.3 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.3 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.3 |
Orchard Oriole Survey Routes in Oklahoma
| Pushmataha | 39 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Beaver | 5 | 2018 | 1979 |
| Goodwater | 5 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Big Cedar | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Randlett | 4 | 2005 | 1967 |
| Bethel | 4 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Wainwright | 4 | 2013 | 1992 |
| Clear Lake | 4 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Verden | 3 | 1978 | 1967 |
| Barnsdall | 3 | 1977 | 1967 |
| Skiatook | 3 | 2019 | 1988 |
| Phillips | 2 | 2008 | 1968 |
| Mill Creek | 2 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Reed | 2 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Baron | 2 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Canadian | 2 | 2011 | 1967 |
| Holdenville | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Eagle City | 2 | 1994 | 1967 |
| Erick | 2 | 2016 | 1969 |
| Peoria | 2 | 2015 | 1967 |
| Felt | 2 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Hollis | 2 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Sickles | 2 | 2021 | 2001 |
| Foraker | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Jet | 2 | 2021 | 1993 |
Orchard Oriole Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiopennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.