BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Horned Lark Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesGrassland birds

Horned Lark in Tennessee has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-71%Since 1968
32Routes In State
58Years

Notable Horned Lark Trends in Tennessee

long arc declinecomputed index

Horned Lark has fallen sharply in Tennessee: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Horned Lark Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Horned Lark in Tennessee is projected to rise about 65% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.22 (95% range 0.00–0.98). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+65%Change by 2029
0.22Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.9895% range
±42.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.300.001.0
20260.280.001.0
20270.260.001.0
20280.240.000.99
20290.220.000.98

Horned Lark Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Horned Lark in Tennessee.
Pawpaw3220121966
Fish Springs1019691969
Pawpaw 21020232013
Tiptonville520221966
Trenton520071988
Jones Gap220011982
Brownsville220171966
Petersburg219701970
Oliver Spgs219721966
Corryton Rd219711966
Tibbs120241966
Whiteville120171986
Big Sandy119691966
Mansfield120241966
Silerton119971981
Humboldt120241969
Indian Mound119731972
Collinwood120191966
Campbellsville119791970
Lewis Forest119811973
Belotes Bend119891971
Bradyville119921991
Tullahoma120051968
Union Hill120141968
Glen120221967

Horned Lark Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.