BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Horned Lark Population Trend in Texas

All statesGrassland birds

Horned Lark in Texas has surged: up 80% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+80%Since 1969
117Routes In State
57Years

Notable Horned Lark Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Horned Lark has surged in Texas: up 80% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Horned Lark Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Horned Lark in Texas is projected to fall about 30% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.3 (95% range 1.00–14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2029
7.3Projected 2029 index
1.00–1495% range
±31.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20257.51.114
20267.41.114
20277.41.114
20287.41.014
20297.31.0014

Horned Lark Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Horned Lark in Texas.
Pantex31720241974
Twichell19020231996
Waka16320241975
Dalhart13520241994
Gruver13320241994
Claytonville12820221995
Lamesa10120241968
Texline8920241975
Friona8220242001
Dougherty7720241995
Cactus7520241994
Plains6620171994
Panhandle5820241994
Weinert4919941969
Floydada4320241976
Indianola4220121967
Booker3920241975
Kermit3919941994
Haskell3620241995
Circle3220241968
Miami3220241975
Hawley3020241994
Saragosa2720242022
Tenmile2520232002
Plains2320241968

Horned Lark Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.