Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Horned Lark Population Trend in New York
Horned Lark in New York has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-35%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years
Notable Horned Lark Trends in New York
No notable trend signals for Horned Lark in New York. See the full index history below.
Horned Lark Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Horned Lark in New York is projected to fall about 14% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.98 (95% range 0.21–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-14%Change by 2029
0.98Projected 2029 index
0.21–1.795% range
±35.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 1.0 | 0.24 | 1.8 |
| 2027 | 0.99 | 0.23 | 1.8 |
| 2028 | 0.99 | 0.22 | 1.8 |
| 2029 | 0.98 | 0.21 | 1.7 |
Horned Lark Survey Routes in New York
| Orleans | 12 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Churchville | 11 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Rushville | 9 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Macdougall | 7 | 2024 | 1969 |
| East Java | 6 | 1977 | 1967 |
| Castile | 6 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Mckeever | 6 | 1970 | 1969 |
| Naples | 6 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Cobleskill | 4 | 1971 | 1966 |
| West Seneca | 4 | 1991 | 1966 |
| Centerville | 4 | 1975 | 1967 |
| Nashville | 4 | 1986 | 1968 |
| Number Four | 4 | 1991 | 1968 |
| Waddington | 4 | 1998 | 1983 |
| Westbrookvle | 3 | 1969 | 1969 |
| Ghent | 3 | 1978 | 1966 |
| Duanesburg | 3 | 1989 | 1966 |
| Mt Morris | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| E Youngstown | 3 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Byron | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Highmarket | 3 | 2003 | 1967 |
| Durham | 2 | 1969 | 1966 |
| Lisle | 2 | 1982 | 1970 |
| E Newark | 2 | 1970 | 1967 |
| Trumansburg | 2 | 2022 | 1967 |
Horned Lark Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.