Species · Illinois · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Horned Lark Population Trend in Illinois
Horned Lark in Illinois has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-71%Since 1968
102Routes In State
58Years
Notable Horned Lark Trends in Illinois
long arc declinecomputed index
Horned Lark has fallen sharply in Illinois: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Horned Lark Population Forecast in Illinois
If the recent trend holds, Horned Lark in Illinois is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.5 (95% range 0.00–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-16%Change by 2029
8.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–2495% range
±32.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11 | 0.00 | 26 |
| 2026 | 10 | 0.00 | 25 |
| 2027 | 9.6 | 0.00 | 25 |
| 2028 | 9.1 | 0.00 | 24 |
| 2029 | 8.5 | 0.00 | 24 |
Horned Lark Survey Routes in Illinois
| Melrose | 69 | 1999 | 1973 |
| Marshall | 59 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Bradbury | 55 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Alden | 35 | 2023 | 2019 |
| York | 33 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Beaucoup | 31 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Martinsville | 29 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Fairdale | 28 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Stillwell | 27 | 2023 | 1971 |
| Monticello | 25 | 2024 | 1976 |
| Dudleyville | 23 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Janesville | 21 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Sterling | 21 | 2023 | 2001 |
| Mill Creek | 20 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Fairland | 20 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Jamestown | 20 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Grape Creek | 19 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Williamsfld | 18 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Mascoutah Lk | 16 | 2024 | 1967 |
| St Morgan | 16 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Yale | 16 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Union | 16 | 2017 | 2001 |
| Kell | 16 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Robinson | 15 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Bartonville | 14 | 2024 | 1973 |
Horned Lark Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.