Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Kansas

Great Crested Flycatcher in Kansas has surged: up 208% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+208%Since 1969
60Routes In State
57Years

Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in Kansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in Kansas: up 208% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Kansas is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 8.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.8 (95% range 5.2–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
6.8Projected 2029 index
5.28.595% range
±19.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.54.98.2
20266.65.08.3
20276.75.08.3
20286.85.18.4
20296.85.28.5

Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Kansas.
Kanopolis3520241967
Covert2920241968
Reece2020242000
Dover1720221967
Grantville1720221968
Wreford1620241967
Wellington1520241968
Seneca1320221967
Ellinor1220241967
Le Loup1220212000
Lincolnville1220242002
Ashland1120211972
Rock Creek1020211973
Chapman919811968
Berwet920242000
Severance920242000
Humboldt820221968
Pittsburg820212001
Morehead820242000
Olathe720211967
Buckeye720231967
Olsburg720242000
Dalton620241968
Minneapolis620191967
Coats520241971

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.