Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Kansas
Great Crested Flycatcher in Kansas has surged: up 208% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+208%Since 1969
60Routes In State
57Years
Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in Kansas
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in Kansas: up 208% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Kansas
If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Kansas is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 8.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.8 (95% range 5.2–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.4%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-15%Change by 2029
6.8Projected 2029 index
5.2–8.595% range
±19.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 8.2 |
| 2026 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 8.3 |
| 2027 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 8.3 |
| 2028 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 8.4 |
| 2029 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 8.5 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Kansas
| Kanopolis | 35 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Covert | 29 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Reece | 20 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Dover | 17 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Grantville | 17 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Wreford | 16 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Wellington | 15 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Seneca | 13 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Ellinor | 12 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Le Loup | 12 | 2021 | 2000 |
| Lincolnville | 12 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Ashland | 11 | 2021 | 1972 |
| Rock Creek | 10 | 2021 | 1973 |
| Chapman | 9 | 1981 | 1968 |
| Berwet | 9 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Severance | 9 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Humboldt | 8 | 2022 | 1968 |
| Pittsburg | 8 | 2021 | 2001 |
| Morehead | 8 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Olathe | 7 | 2021 | 1967 |
| Buckeye | 7 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Olsburg | 7 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Dalton | 6 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Minneapolis | 6 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Coats | 5 | 2024 | 1971 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.