Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in West Virginia
Great Crested Flycatcher in West Virginia has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-67%Since 1968
62Routes In State
58Years
Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in West Virginia
long arc declinecomputed index
Great Crested Flycatcher has fallen sharply in West Virginia: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in West Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in West Virginia is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 0.89 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.12–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+37%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.12–2.395% range
±38.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.4 | 0.28 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 1.3 | 0.24 | 2.5 |
| 2027 | 1.3 | 0.20 | 2.4 |
| 2028 | 1.3 | 0.16 | 2.4 |
| 2029 | 1.2 | 0.12 | 2.3 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in West Virginia
| Sleepy Creek | 11 | 1990 | 1966 |
| Shanghai | 11 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Rio | 8 | 1995 | 1974 |
| Hix | 5 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Pedro | 5 | 2023 | 1979 |
| Fayetteville | 5 | 1996 | 1980 |
| Denmar | 5 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Albright | 5 | 1974 | 1966 |
| Arlee | 4 | 1979 | 1966 |
| Mo Of Seneca | 4 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Washburn | 4 | 2022 | 1974 |
| Bramwell | 3 | 2022 | 1978 |
| Nicut | 3 | 2022 | 1986 |
| Mt Storm | 3 | 1975 | 1968 |
| Martinsburg | 3 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Ruthbelle | 3 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Smoot | 2 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Welch | 2 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Richwood | 2 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Green Bank | 2 | 2024 | 1977 |
| Slate | 2 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Moundsville | 2 | 2021 | 1972 |
| Monongah | 2 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Berryburg | 2 | 1995 | 1975 |
| Bebee | 2 | 2012 | 1972 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.