Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in North Dakota
Great Crested Flycatcher in North Dakota has surged: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+202%Since 1969
17Routes In State
57Years
Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in North Dakota
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in North Dakota: up 202% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in North Dakota
If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in North Dakota is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 0.63 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.81 (95% range 0.39–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+29%Change by 2029
0.81Projected 2029 index
0.39–1.295% range
±41.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.78 | 0.35 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.79 | 0.36 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.80 | 0.37 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.81 | 0.38 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.81 | 0.39 | 1.2 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in North Dakota
| Abercrombie | 7 | 2012 | 1967 |
| Emerado | 6 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Cooperstown | 6 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Turtle Mtns | 4 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Walcott | 3 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Nash | 3 | 2015 | 1980 |
| Kempton | 2 | 2016 | 1968 |
| Forman | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Carson | 1 | 1991 | 1991 |
| Bowesmont | 1 | 2012 | 1971 |
| Lakota | 1 | 2003 | 1994 |
| Rolla | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Bowesmont 2 | 1 | 2016 | 2015 |
| Dickinson | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Dunn Center | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Denbigh | 1 | 2017 | 2010 |
| Abercrombie 2 | 1 | 2017 | 2013 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.