Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Nebraska
Great Crested Flycatcher in Nebraska has surged: up 745% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+745%Since 1969
52Routes In State
57Years
Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in Nebraska
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in Nebraska: up 745% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Nebraska
If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Nebraska is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 2.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.9 (95% range 1.2–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.4%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-34%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
1.2–2.695% range
±40.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| 2027 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| 2029 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.6 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Nebraska
| Red Cloud | 27 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Eagle Creek | 19 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Midway | 16 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Brady | 15 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Pine Ridge | 9 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Liberty 3 | 9 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Nenzel | 8 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Crookston | 5 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Lyons | 5 | 2024 | 2022 |
| Belvidere | 4 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Stratton | 4 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Almeria | 4 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Boelus | 4 | 2022 | 2022 |
| Murdock | 4 | 2024 | 2021 |
| Johnson | 3 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Gretna | 3 | 2018 | 2014 |
| Tilden | 3 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Humboldt | 3 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Julian | 2 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Liberty | 2 | 2003 | 1967 |
| Holbrook | 2 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Irvington | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Swan Lake | 2 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Johnstown | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Table | 2 | 2024 | 2011 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.