Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Mississippi
Great Crested Flycatcher in Mississippi has surged: up 137% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+137%Since 1968
74Routes In State
58Years
Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in Mississippi
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in Mississippi: up 137% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Mississippi
If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Mississippi is projected to rise about 51% by 2029 — from 5.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.6 (95% range 5.0–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+51%Change by 2029
7.6Projected 2029 index
5.0–1095% range
±28.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 7.3 | 4.8 | 9.9 |
| 2026 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 9.9 |
| 2027 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 10 |
| 2028 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 10 |
| 2029 | 7.6 | 5.0 | 10 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Mississippi
| Trace South | 23 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Trace Lorman | 22 | 2019 | 2016 |
| Trace Lee | 21 | 2018 | 2013 |
| Vicksburg Np | 19 | 2021 | 2016 |
| Commerce | 18 | 1993 | 1966 |
| Amite River | 17 | 2013 | 2008 |
| Leaf River | 14 | 2013 | 2008 |
| Delta N.F. | 14 | 2021 | 1996 |
| Corinth | 13 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Trace Chickasaw | 13 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Beverly | 12 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Lake | 12 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Neely | 12 | 2012 | 1974 |
| Oak Ridge Vick | 12 | 2021 | 2015 |
| Star | 12 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Mt Carmel | 11 | 2016 | 1974 |
| Necaise | 11 | 2022 | 1982 |
| Monticello | 10 | 2017 | 2007 |
| Latimer 2 | 10 | 2023 | 2021 |
| Trace Hinds | 10 | 2022 | 2014 |
| Latimer | 10 | 2019 | 1988 |
| Dundee | 9 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Lucien | 9 | 2008 | 1967 |
| Olive Branch | 9 | 2001 | 1968 |
| Scooba | 9 | 1982 | 1968 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.