BirdAnalyst
Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Vermont

All statesAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Vermont has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-37%Since 1968
26Routes In State
58Years

Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in Vermont

No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in Vermont. See the full index history below.

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Vermont

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Vermont is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.44–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.44–1.995% range
±16.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.492.0
20261.20.481.9
20271.20.471.9
20281.20.451.9
20291.20.441.9

Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Vermont

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Vermont.
Fletcher720241970
Post Mills420241966
Hinesburg419941966
S Reading320241966
W Rutland320241966
East Haven220241966
Northfld Fls220211986
Middlesex220231969
Hardwick220241966
Grand Isle220231967
Stowe220241988
Bristol220171995
Marlboro120221968
North Pownal120231966
Stratton119971966
Landgrove120221966
Gaysville120131966
Shaftsbury120241967
S Wallingfrd120221966
St Johnsbury120241970
East Calais120151966
Newbury120021987
Greensboro120241968
Waterville119801967
Colchester120231986

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.