Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Michigan
Great Crested Flycatcher in Michigan has edged down: down 11% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-11%Since 1968
108Routes In State
58Years
Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in Michigan
No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in Michigan. See the full index history below.
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Michigan
If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Michigan is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 1.4–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+13%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
1.4–5.495% range
±10.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 5.6 |
| 2026 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| 2027 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| 2028 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 5.5 |
| 2029 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 5.4 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Michigan
| Pleasant Val | 17 | 1997 | 1967 |
| Remus | 11 | 2024 | 1974 |
| Beaver Lake | 11 | 2011 | 1967 |
| Hubbard Lake | 11 | 1996 | 1973 |
| Big Rapids | 10 | 1990 | 1967 |
| No Bradley | 10 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Herron | 10 | 2016 | 2011 |
| Chippewa Lk. | 10 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Walloon Lake | 9 | 2004 | 1977 |
| Cathro | 9 | 2016 | 1967 |
| New Buffalo | 9 | 2014 | 1992 |
| Barry S.G.A. 2 | 9 | 2019 | 2013 |
| Coopersville | 8 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Deckerville | 8 | 2024 | 1978 |
| Hungerford | 8 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Bear Lake | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Brush Creek | 7 | 2016 | 1974 |
| Mayfield | 7 | 2022 | 2000 |
| Almena | 7 | 2015 | 1993 |
| Ontonagon | 6 | 2019 | 1970 |
| Skeels | 6 | 2015 | 1966 |
| Adrian | 6 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Allegan Wma | 6 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Creighton | 5 | 2023 | 1978 |
| Big Blue Lk | 5 | 2024 | 1979 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.