Species · Maryland · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Maryland
Great Crested Flycatcher in Maryland has surged: up 101% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+101%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years
Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in Maryland
long arc increasecomputed index
Great Crested Flycatcher has surged in Maryland: up 101% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Maryland
If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Maryland is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 8.7 (95% range 6.6–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±9.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+3%Change by 2029
8.7Projected 2029 index
6.6–1195% range
±9.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 10 |
| 2026 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 10 |
| 2027 | 8.5 | 6.4 | 11 |
| 2028 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 11 |
| 2029 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 11 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Maryland
| Honga | 51 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Madison | 45 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Cokesbury | 24 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Williamsport | 18 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Furnace Town | 15 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Wheaton | 14 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Emmitsburg | 13 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Tall Timbers | 13 | 2014 | 1966 |
| Easton | 12 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Fruitland | 12 | 1998 | 1966 |
| Walnut | 12 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Harmony | 11 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Matthews | 10 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Berlin | 10 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Indiantown | 9 | 2014 | 1977 |
| Island Creek | 9 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Piney Neck | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Vienna | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Newark | 8 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Snow Hill | 8 | 1976 | 1966 |
| St. George'S Island | 8 | 2017 | 2015 |
| Ijamsville | 8 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Madonna | 8 | 2022 | 2009 |
| Davidsnville | 8 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Oldtown | 7 | 2024 | 1970 |
Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.