BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Texas

All statesAerial insectivores

Great Crested Flycatcher in Texas has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-37%Since 1969
145Routes In State
57Years

Notable Great Crested Flycatcher Trends in Texas

No notable trend signals for Great Crested Flycatcher in Texas. See the full index history below.

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Great Crested Flycatcher in Texas is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.76 (95% range 0.16–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-24%Change by 2029
0.76Projected 2029 index
0.16–1.495% range
±13.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.830.221.4
20260.810.211.4
20270.800.191.4
20280.780.171.4
20290.760.161.4

Great Crested Flycatcher Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Great Crested Flycatcher in Texas.
Chandler1420031968
Caledonia1020241969
Athens1020241968
Whit Mtn.1020191994
Livingston920241969
Neches Bith920172016
Smyrna820101995
Diboll720241968
Sadler720241969
Wolfe City619871969
Thornton 2620101985
Moon Lake 2620232013
Winchell520191971
Lydia520231967
Olney520241969
Big Sandy Bith520242018
Paige520242015
Schroeder419971967
Oakwood419801971
Ola420221967
Dallas420241967
Grayback420241971
Clarendon420241968
Walburg420241980
Cayuga420242001

Great Crested Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.