BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Tennessee has surged: up 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+92%Since 1968
55Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in Tennessee

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Tennessee: up 92% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Tennessee is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 5.7 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.7 (95% range 4.5–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±41.6%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029
6.7Projected 2029 index
4.5–9.095% range
±41.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.54.38.7
20266.54.38.7
20276.64.48.8
20286.74.58.9
20296.74.59.0

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Tennessee.
Corryton Rd1920191966
Big Sandy1720241966
Mansfield1620241966
Oliver Spgs1620221966
Humboldt1320241967
Walland1219891966
Campbellsville1120191966
Silerton1020241966
Union Hill920241967
Collinwood820241966
Jasper820241967
Pond Creek720241966
Jefferson Cty720061966
Mt Olive720241966
Cornpone720241990
Tullahoma620151967
Elk Valley620221970
Lovell620191966
Climer620041967
Trenton520231969
Indian Mound519981966
Bradyville520211966
Smokey Jct520221966
Fish Springs520231966
Mecca520231994

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.