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Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Georgia

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Georgia has surged: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

12×Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
88Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Georgia: up 12× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Georgia is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 3.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.0 (95% range 4.2–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+31%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.2–5.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Georgia is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 3.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.0 (95% range 4.2–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.73.95.4
20264.84.05.5
20274.84.15.6
20284.94.15.7
20295.04.25.8

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Stoney Point 22120242013
Maxeys1920241988
Kite Lake1720232015
Stoney Point1620072007
Lincolnton1520171967
Lincolnton 21420242018
Yates Crossroads1420242005
Pleasant Hill1420242005
Stockbridge1320231981
Linwood1220231970
Candler1120242009
Rock Branch1120242005
Hebron1120222005
Amos Mill1120222011
Grovetown1020211976
Bowdon1020241973
Hollonville 21020222019
Lakeview1020242006
Woodstock1020212006
Henderson920241975
Metasville920001997
Roland920242005
Crest820231983
Hollonville820031975
Washington820241975

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.