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Species · Georgia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Georgia

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Georgia has surged: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

11×Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
88Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Georgia: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Georgia is projected to rise about 25% by 2030 — from 4.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.0 (95% range 4.2–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+25%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.2–5.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Georgia is projected to rise about 25% by 2030 — from 4.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.0 (95% range 4.2–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.73.95.5
20274.84.05.6
20284.94.15.6
20294.94.15.7
20305.04.25.8

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Candler2020252009
Maxeys1920241988
Tazewell1920251977
Kite Lake1820252015
Stoney Point1620072007
Lincolnton1520171967
Stockbridge1320251981
Linwood1220231970
Stoney Point 21220252013
Athens1120251966
Hebron1120222005
Amos Mill1120222011
Grovetown1020211976
Hollonville 21020222019
Whitesburg1020251992
Lincolnton 21020252018
Good Hope1020252005
Woodstock1020212006
Metasville920001997
Hollonville820031975
Henderson820251975
Macon820251982
Mountain Cty820251975
Roland820252005
Wrightsville720251980

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.