BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Arkansas has risen sharply: up 57% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+57%Since 1969
58Routes In State
57Years

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in Arkansas

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has risen sharply in Arkansas: up 57% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Arkansas is projected to rise about 86% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.4 (95% range 2.8–5.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±108%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+86%Change by 2029
4.4Projected 2029 index
2.8–5.995% range
±108%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.22.65.8
20264.22.75.8
20274.32.75.8
20284.32.85.9
20294.42.85.9

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Arkansas.
Farwell1620182010
Blakely1519991968
Zion1420241969
Saffell920191967
Lockesburg920192010
Nance820241992
Avoca720241967
Ravenden Springs620152010
Havana620212010
Locust Bayou520231967
Poyen520071967
Fulton520241967
Hope420241967
Hollywood420241969
Rupert420241969
Stark420241967
Lurton420231969
Maynard420241967
Crows319911967
Coal Hill320231968
Yellville320222010
Hatfield 2320232017
Poyen 2320242008
Augusta 2320162004
Ashdown220231968

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.