BirdAnalyst
Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in North Dakota

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in North Dakota has surged: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+78%Since 1971
22Routes In State
54Years

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in North Dakota

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in North Dakota: up 78% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in North Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in North Dakota is projected to rise about 59% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.23 (95% range 0.07–0.40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±106.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+59%Change by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.07–0.4095% range
±106.8%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.230.060.39
20260.230.060.40
20270.230.070.40
20280.230.070.40
20290.230.070.40

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in North Dakota

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in North Dakota.
Walcott320121974
Kempton220171994
Cooperstown220241970
Niles220192016
Abercrombie220121970
Bowesmont 2220162016
Forman120161970
Sydney119741971
Danzig120102010
Emerado120241981
Buchanan120152005
Bowesmont119961973
Nash120171980
Lakota120051993
Rolla120021969
Carpio120162016
Loraine120182018
Stanley120142014
Denbigh120221997
Turtle Mtns120221980
Montpelier120242010
Abercrombie 2120172017

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.