Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Mississippi
Eastern Phoebe in Mississippi has surged: up 432% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+432%Since 1970
46Routes In State
50Years
Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in Mississippi
long arc increasecomputed index
Eastern Phoebe has surged in Mississippi: up 432% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in Mississippi
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Mississippi is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.90–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±76.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-26%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
0.90–2.795% range
±76.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.7 | 0.76 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 1.7 | 0.80 | 2.6 |
| 2027 | 1.8 | 0.83 | 2.7 |
| 2028 | 1.8 | 0.86 | 2.7 |
| 2029 | 1.8 | 0.90 | 2.7 |
Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in Mississippi
| Delta N.F. | 11 | 2016 | 2008 |
| Trace Choctaw | 8 | 2019 | 2012 |
| Duck Hill | 7 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Lake | 7 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Trace Lee | 7 | 2018 | 2013 |
| Corinth | 6 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Trace Central | 5 | 2022 | 2015 |
| Trace Attala | 5 | 2019 | 2016 |
| Okatibbee L. | 4 | 2008 | 1995 |
| Olive Branch | 4 | 2001 | 1970 |
| Duffee | 4 | 2008 | 1978 |
| Trace North | 4 | 2018 | 2008 |
| Benton | 3 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Cybur | 3 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Tupelo | 3 | 2022 | 1983 |
| Star | 3 | 2024 | 2016 |
| Trace South | 3 | 2019 | 2017 |
| Water Valley | 3 | 2018 | 2015 |
| Holly Springs | 3 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Trace Chickasaw | 3 | 2024 | 2012 |
| Embry | 3 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Lake Como | 2 | 2019 | 2012 |
| Fayette | 2 | 2007 | 1967 |
| Cockrum | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Forest | 2 | 2024 | 2007 |
Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States
alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.