BirdAnalyst
Species · Massachusetts · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Massachusetts

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Massachusetts has surged: up 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+99%Since 1968
32Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in Massachusetts

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Massachusetts: up 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in Massachusetts

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Massachusetts is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 9.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.0 (95% range 5.3–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029
8.0Projected 2029 index
5.3–1195% range
±18.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20257.85.110
20267.85.210
20277.95.211
20287.95.311
20298.05.311

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in Massachusetts

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Massachusetts.
Chesterfield2220241967
S Barre2120241968
Belchertown1320241967
Warren1320091968
N Orange1320241968
Warren 21220242010
Marion1120241966
Holden1120241977
Cummington 21120242015
Cummington1020141968
Monterey1020242019
Brockton920191967
E Pepperell819941966
Princeton719761969
N. Andover720241995
Hancock720151998
Newburyport620221967
N Oxford620241968
Wellfleet520071966
Mansfield520241968
Pittsfield520161967
Ware River520221993
E Dennis420211969
Maynard420221967
Wellfleet 2420242016

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.