BirdAnalyst
Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in New Jersey

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in New Jersey has surged: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+186%Since 1968
39Routes In State
58Years

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in New Jersey

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in New Jersey: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in New Jersey

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in New Jersey is projected to rise about 29% by 2029 — from 2.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 1.8–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±31.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+29%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
1.8–4.495% range
±31.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.01.74.3
20263.11.84.4
20273.11.84.4
20283.11.84.4
20293.11.84.4

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in New Jersey

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in New Jersey.
Ramseysburg1020241995
Dover920231977
Hope719941970
Toms River620241967
Bennett Mill520001967
Kemah Lake520241966
Croton 2520242008
High Point420241977
Friendship420241977
Sandbrook320241970
Clarksville319911969
Croton320071970
Gillette320241988
Roosevelt320221986
Estell Manor320222021
Holmansville220041969
Bloomsbury220241969
Pottersville220231986
Pomona220241978
Pedricktown 2220242015
Cape May Ch220112009
Winslow220241989
Bennett Mill 2220232016
Woodbury Hgt120241968
Greenwich120231967

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.