BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Texas

All statesAerial insectivores

Eastern Phoebe in Texas has surged: up 89% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+89%Since 1969
142Routes In State
57Years

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Eastern Phoebe has surged in Texas: up 89% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in Texas is projected to rise about 19% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 1.3–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±172%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+19%Change by 2029
2.1Projected 2029 index
1.3–3.095% range
±172%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.01.22.9
20262.11.22.9
20272.11.32.9
20282.11.32.9
20292.11.33.0

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in Texas.
Miller Grove1720241970
Blue Ridge1720241988
Weatherford1320241968
Gambill Ref.1220241995
Mt. Selman1120241998
Morton1020241972
Thornton 21020101986
Bayside1019961996
Duran1019991995
Athens920241969
Liberty Hill920231973
Chandler 2920242005
Smyrna820101996
Massey Lake720241970
Glen Rose720231967
Cottonwood720241967
Olney720241969
Oak Grove 2720242003
Decatur720241995
Dallas620241975
Selden620241969
Dike620241973
Boerne520191967
Caledonia520241969
Pidcoke520171968

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.