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Species · West Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in West Virginia

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Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia has held roughly steady: up 5% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+5%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in West VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia is projected to rise about 24% by 2029 — from 6.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.5 (95% range 5.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+24%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.9–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia is projected to rise about 24% by 2029 — from 6.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 8.5 (95% range 5.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20258.45.811
20268.45.811
20278.55.911
20288.55.911
20298.55.911

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Welch2720231980
Denmar1820241980
Hix1620241970
Rio1519951974
Hubbardstown1420231966
Stollings1320211986
Yawkey1320241966
Clendenin1220241979
Sleepy Creek1219901966
Ruthbelle1220241975
Pt Pleasant1120231973
Yellow Spg1120231972
Strange Crk1020241982
Meadowville1020241972
Bowden1020241993
Bramwell920231978
Spencer920231986
Nicut920241986
Olcott920241966
Cedarville920231982
Green Bank920241977
Lost River920231996
Henderson920232002
Valley Head820241966
Mcdonald820231987

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.