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Species · West Virginia · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in West Virginia

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Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia has held roughly steady: up 5% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+5%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Eastern Phoebe Trends in West VirginiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia. See the full index history below.

Eastern Phoebe Population Forecast in West Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia is projected to rise about 24% by 2030 — from 6.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.4 (95% range 5.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+24%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.9–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±18.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia is projected to rise about 24% by 2030 — from 6.8 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.4 (95% range 5.9–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20268.35.711
20278.45.811
20288.45.811
20298.45.811
20308.45.911

Eastern Phoebe Survey Routes in West Virginia

Routes recording Eastern Phoebe in West Virginia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Nicut2020251986
Lost River1820251996
Hubbardstown1520251966
Rio1519951974
Ruthbelle1520251975
Stollings1320211986
Meadland1320251997
Yawkey1320241966
Spencer1220241986
Sleepy Creek1219901966
Hix1120251970
Pt Pleasant1120251973
Clendenin1120251979
Denmar1120251980
Yellow Spg1120231972
Paradise920251966
Olcott920241966
Valley Head920251966
Cedarville920231982
Ringgold920252025
Henderson920232002
Shanghai920251995
Pedro820251979
Three Forks820251971
Mcdonald820231987

Eastern Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarkansascoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.