BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Texas

All statesGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Texas has edged up: up 25% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+25%Since 1969
222Routes In State
57Years

Notable Northern Cardinal Trends in Texas

No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in Texas. See the full index history below.

Northern Cardinal Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 42 (95% range 35–49). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±7.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2029
42Projected 2029 index
35–4995% range
±7.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025413449
2026423549
2027423549
2028423549
2029423549

Northern Cardinal Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Texas.
Mcfaddin20720162006
Arenosa Crk18820241968
Diboll18720241968
Muldoon16720241970
Schroeder15919971967
Rhome13920241968
Moon Lake 213820242012
Oak Grove13319991967
Burton13120241996
Paige12920242015
Hearne11520241998
Decatur11420241995
Oak Grove 211320242003
Thornton 211020101985
Fannin11020231998
Hinkles Fer10920241968
Cottonwood10720241967
Agua Nueva10620231969
Mt. Selman10220241998
Smyrna10120101995
Goliad Prairie10120162004
Chandler9920041968
Caledonia9720241969
Athens9720241968
Three Rivers9620241994

Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.