Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Tennessee
Northern Cardinal in Tennessee has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-20%Since 1968
55Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Cardinal Trends in Tennessee
No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in Tennessee. See the full index history below.
Northern Cardinal Population Forecast in Tennessee
If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Tennessee is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 34 (95% range 27–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-2%Change by 2029
34Projected 2029 index
27–4095% range
±13.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34 | 27 | 40 |
| 2026 | 34 | 27 | 40 |
| 2027 | 34 | 27 | 40 |
| 2028 | 34 | 27 | 40 |
| 2029 | 34 | 27 | 40 |
Northern Cardinal Survey Routes in Tennessee
| Corryton Rd | 86 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Belotes Bend | 77 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Mt Olive | 75 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Trace Lewis | 74 | 2017 | 2013 |
| Mansfield | 68 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Humboldt | 65 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Climer | 62 | 2004 | 1967 |
| Lovell | 57 | 2019 | 1966 |
| Moscow | 51 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Collinwood | 51 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Big Sandy | 45 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Peytonsville | 45 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Wrigley | 44 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Tibbs | 43 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Indian Mound 2 | 43 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Indian Mound | 42 | 1998 | 1966 |
| Bradyville | 41 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Jefferson Cty | 40 | 2011 | 1966 |
| Allens Brdge | 40 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Trenton | 39 | 2023 | 1966 |
| Signal Mtn | 38 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Silver Pt | 38 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Walland | 38 | 1989 | 1966 |
| Oliver Spgs | 36 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Silerton | 34 | 2024 | 1966 |
Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.