Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Tennessee

Northern Cardinal in Tennessee has edged down: down 20% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-20%Since 1968
55Routes In State
58Years

Notable Northern Cardinal Trends in Tennessee

No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in Tennessee. See the full index history below.

Northern Cardinal Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Tennessee is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 34 (95% range 27–40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-2%Change by 2029
34Projected 2029 index
274095% range
±13.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025342740
2026342740
2027342740
2028342740
2029342740

Northern Cardinal Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Tennessee.
Corryton Rd8620191966
Belotes Bend7720181966
Mt Olive7520241966
Trace Lewis7420172013
Mansfield6820241966
Humboldt6520241966
Climer6220041967
Lovell5720191966
Moscow5120241966
Collinwood5120241966
Big Sandy4520241966
Peytonsville4520241966
Wrigley4420221966
Tibbs4320241966
Indian Mound 24320232004
Indian Mound4219981966
Bradyville4120211966
Jefferson Cty4020111966
Allens Brdge4020231966
Trenton3920231966
Signal Mtn3820241979
Silver Pt3820241966
Walland3819891966
Oliver Spgs3620221966
Silerton3420241966

Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Other States

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.