BirdAnalyst
Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Vermont

All statesGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Vermont has surged: up 869% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+869%Since 1968
24Routes In State
58Years

Notable Northern Cardinal Trends in Vermont

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Cardinal has surged in Vermont: up 869% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Northern Cardinal Population Forecast in Vermont

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Vermont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.4 (95% range 4.7–8.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-7%Change by 2029
6.4Projected 2029 index
4.7–8.195% range
±15.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20256.04.37.7
20266.14.47.8
20276.24.57.9
20286.34.68.0
20296.44.78.1

Northern Cardinal Survey Routes in Vermont

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Vermont.
Grand Isle1920241970
North Pownal1520241966
W Rutland1520241967
Hinesburg1519941974
Colchester1420241986
St Johnsbury1220242000
Shaftsbury1120241967
S Wallingfrd1120221969
Gaysville1020211981
Stowe920241994
Hardwick620241983
Bristol620181995
Marlboro420241977
S Reading420241971
Newbury 2420232008
East Haven320241996
Middlesex320241974
Fletcher320241987
Northfld Fls220211994
East Calais220241996
Stratton120242016
Landgrove120231997
Post Mills120241975
Greensboro120241993

Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.