BirdAnalyst
Species · Ohio · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Ohio

All statesGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Ohio has surged: up 107% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+107%Since 1968
89Routes In State
58Years

Notable Northern Cardinal Trends in Ohio

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Cardinal has surged in Ohio: up 107% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Northern Cardinal Population Forecast in Ohio

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Ohio is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 33 (95% range 27–38). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029
33Projected 2029 index
27–3895% range
±4.3%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025322737
2026322737
2027322738
2028332738
2029332738

Northern Cardinal Survey Routes in Ohio

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Ohio.
Harveysburg9919961966
Ashley7420181988
Birmingham7220241988
Dresden6520241966
Darrtown6320211966
Omega6220241966
Marion6120231966
Smithfield6120241966
Lucerne5520241992
Garrettsvile5319911966
Hiram4920211992
Wilgus4720191992
West Elkton4620121992
Marion 24620242024
Tecumseh4519821966
Wilmington4419961966
Keene4420231992
Meadowbrook4320211966
Coshocton4219911990
Harveysburg 24220241997
Ash Ridge3920211992
Tar Hollow3920241992
Enon3820241984
Bismark3719951967
Bloomville3620241992

Northern Cardinal Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourinebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaoklahomapennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasvermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.