BirdAnalyst
Species · Kansas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Kansas has increased: up 42% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+42%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Kansas is projected to fall about 27% by 2030 — from 3.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-27%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–5.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±39.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Kansas is projected to fall about 27% by 2030 — from 3.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.60.005.4
20272.50.005.3
20282.50.005.3
20292.50.005.3
20302.40.005.2

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trading Post3520252000
Humboldt2120191968
Gove2020131985
Rexford2020242000
Grigston1920242000
Bucyrus1420252025
Le Loup1120212000
Dover1020221968
Phillipsburg1020251968
Coldwater920171974
Ellinor820251968
Ruleton820221981
Galesburg720251967
Olathe720181968
Hollenberg720211969
Severance720242001
Albert620231971
Grantville620221969
Pittsburg620212004
Olsburg620252002
Damar620162012
Minneapolis520191969
Lincolnville520222002
Solomon520191982
Wellington420251968

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.