BirdAnalyst
Species · Kansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Kansas

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Kansas has edged up: up 24% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+24%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in KansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Kansas. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in Kansas

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Kansas is projected to fall about 38% by 2029 — from 3.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-38%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.4Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–5.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±52.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Kansas is projected to fall about 38% by 2029 — from 3.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.4 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.50.005.4
20262.50.005.3
20272.50.005.3
20282.40.005.3
20292.40.005.2

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in Kansas

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Kansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Trading Post2520242000
Plymell2420242003
Humboldt2120191968
Gove2020131985
Rexford2020242000
Grigston1920242000
Le Loup1120212000
Dover1020221968
Coldwater920171974
Ruleton820221981
Olathe720181968
Hollenberg720211969
Severance720242001
Albert620231971
Grantville620221969
Pittsburg620212004
Jamestown620212000
Damar620162012
Minneapolis520191969
Ulysses520242003
Lincolnville520222002
Solomon520191982
Leoville420091967
Rock Creek420211972
Beloit 2420182005

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.