BirdAnalyst
Species · Idaho · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Idaho

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Idaho has held roughly steady: down 10% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-10%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
40Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in IdahoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Idaho. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in Idaho

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Idaho is projected to rise about 108% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±49.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+108%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±49.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Idaho is projected to rise about 108% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.00–11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±49.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20254.80.0011
20264.80.0011
20274.80.0011
20284.80.0011
20294.80.0011

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in Idaho

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Idaho.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pocatello4120191979
Mud Lake3720231988
Blacks Creek3220171971
Pasadena Val2220161987
Dubois1920241982
Picabo1620181988
Glenns Ferry1519861968
Cedar Hill1520241990
Featherville1420151989
Crane Creek1220151990
Mora1220242018
Craters920181979
Leadore620241981
Ririe620231971
Circular Bu519981994
Bates520161988
Challis420121983
Triangle420211986
Henry419791974
Naples320222005
Baker320241987
Squirrel320141971
Springfield320181970
Coolin320032003
Tractor Flat220241997

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.