BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Nebraska has declined: down 35% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-35%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
63Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Nebraska is projected to fall about 30% by 2030 — from 3.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.56–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-30%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.56–4.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±34.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Nebraska is projected to fall about 30% by 2030 — from 3.7 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.56–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.70.664.8
20272.70.644.7
20282.70.614.7
20292.60.594.7
20302.60.564.7

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Liberty3319971967
Hay Springs3220242018
Marsland2820182018
Johnstown2520251967
Murdock2320252021
Hendley2020252024
Benkelman1620251986
Kennedy1520172003
Kenesaw1420251967
Crookston1320252019
Kearney1120251968
Bartley1120251977
Wheeler Co1119921992
Kimball920251975
Surprise720251967
Richland720251968
Brownlee720072007
Berea720251981
Tilden620252019
Brownson620212021
Liberty 3620252009
Gretna520181967
Agate520001983
Seward420251968
Oconto419681968

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.