BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Nebraska has declined: down 47% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-47%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
62Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Nebraska is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.51–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-24%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.51–4.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Nebraska is projected to fall about 24% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.6 (95% range 0.51–4.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.70.614.7
20262.60.594.7
20272.60.564.7
20282.60.534.6
20292.60.514.6

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Liberty3319971967
Sparta3220211976
Hay Springs3220242018
Marsland2820182018
Stratton2420191975
Kimball1920221975
Kearney1720241968
Surprise1720241967
Berea1720181981
Bartley1520241977
Kennedy1520172003
Liberty 31420232009
Wheeler Co1119921992
Brownlee720072007
Tilden720242019
Ponca720242019
Lyons720242021
Table620241980
Brownson620212021
Murdock620242021
Gretna520181967
Johnstown520241967
Agate520001983
Benkelman520221986
Crookston520242019

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.