BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in New Mexico has held roughly steady: down 8% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-8%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
40Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in New MexicoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in New Mexico is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.00–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-22%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–5.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±32.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in New Mexico is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.00–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±32.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.90.005.4
20261.80.005.3
20271.80.005.3
20281.80.005.3
20291.80.005.3

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in New Mexico.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Hobbs8120241995
Pecos7220171973
Tucumcari2419751975
Bitter Lake2120232017
Valencia1819971968
Mesilla1820001995
Rodeo1519951978
Laborcita 21420242024
Newcomb1220212021
Carrizozo919701968
Magdalena919991999
Gallinas819951994
Farmington719871975
Clovis620231993
La Plata519931993
Columbus520242003
Cloudcroft419751975
Ojo Sarco320241968
Floyd320181975
Nageesi220171994
Cebolla220072007
Torreon220221977
Cooley Lake219951976
Roswell220162000
Lakewood220212021

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.