BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in New Mexico has declined: down 33% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-33%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
40Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in New MexicoNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in New Mexico is projected to rise about 118% by 2030 — from 0.77 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+118%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.7Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–5.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±47.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in New Mexico is projected to rise about 118% by 2030 — from 0.77 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.80.005.2
20271.70.005.2
20281.70.005.2
20291.70.005.2
20301.70.005.2

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in New Mexico.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pecos7220171973
Tucumcari2419751975
Bitter Lake2120232017
Valencia1819971968
Mesilla1820001995
Rodeo1519951978
Newcomb1220212021
Columbus1120252003
Carrizozo919701968
Magdalena919991999
Gallinas819951994
Farmington719871975
Hobbs720251995
Clovis620231993
Torreon520251977
Laborcita 2520252024
La Plata519931993
Grenville420251970
Cloudcroft419751975
Ojo Sarco320241968
Floyd320181975
Nageesi220171994
Cebolla220072007
Cooley Lake219951976
Roswell220242000

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.