BirdAnalyst
Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Arizona

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Arizona has surged: up 211% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+211%Since 1971
37Routes In State
54Years

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in Arizona

long arc increasecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has surged in Arizona: up 211% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in Arizona

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Arizona is projected to fall about 73% by 2029 — from 4.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.00–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±78.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-73%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.195% range
±78.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.003.1
20261.20.003.1
20271.20.003.1
20281.20.003.1
20291.20.003.1

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in Arizona

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Arizona.
Cactus Forest13620241993
Coolidge1819851975
Castle Butte1820062005
Ajo1520081976
Laguna1119921968
Greasewood1019931993
Hunt919761976
New River720161975
Red Rock 2720242019
Peach Spring720242006
Oatman420241998
Vicksburg419891968
Palo Verde 2420232018
Palo Verde420041992
Araby420231993
Patagonia320061985
Sunizona319971997
Hope 2320192015
Ajo 2320212009
Organ Pipe220181994
Prescott220151974
Cow Springs219921992
Williams220172001
Maine219971997
Skull Valley220031997

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.