BirdAnalyst
Species · Mississippi · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Mississippi

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Mississippi has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-67%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
39Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in MississippiNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Rock Pigeon has fallen sharply in Mississippi: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in Mississippi

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Mississippi is projected to rise about 113% by 2028 — from 0.33 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.71 (95% range 0.00–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±213%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+113%Change by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.71Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2.995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±213%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Mississippi is projected to rise about 113% by 2028 — from 0.33 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.71 (95% range 0.00–2.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±213%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.790.002.9
20250.770.002.9
20260.750.002.9
20270.730.002.9
20280.710.002.9

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in Mississippi

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Mississippi.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Leaf River1620082008
Tchula 21619941976
Olive Branch920001966
Cybur920161967
Lake820052005
Trace Lee820182015
Benndale819921992
Commerce719931966
Beverly619791974
Corinth620231983
Duffee620012001
Dundee520051970
Tchula 3520211997
Utica419781978
Tippo420111996
Winterville420092009
Cockrum320011976
Trace Hinds320192018
Macon320191969
Trace North320112011
Moon320161998
Embry319921992
Diberville219861983
Tchula219751971
Benton220221977

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.