BirdAnalyst
Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Nevada

All statesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Nevada has edged up: up 14% on the route-weighted index since 1990.

+14%Since 1990TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
34YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Rock Pigeon Trends in NevadaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Nevada. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon Population Forecast in Nevada

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Nevada is projected to rise about 16% by 2028 — from 1.6 in 2023 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.06–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±590.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+16%Change by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.8Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.06–3.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±590.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Nevada is projected to rise about 16% by 2028 — from 1.6 in 2023 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.06–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±590.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19712028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20241.70.003.4
20251.70.003.5
20261.70.013.5
20271.80.043.5
20281.80.063.5

Rock Pigeon Survey Routes in Nevada

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Nevada.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Gardnerville2220121992
Chimney Res.1720232005
Gardnerville 21520182013
Jean Lake1220131990
Mill City1120232014
Carson River720052001
Beatty620171993
Silver Peak419731973
Hiko420211971
Piute Mdws320212005
Virgin Creek319981998
Humboldt Nf220062006
Rye Patch219731973
Nixon220151990
Toiyabe Nf120131998
Fallon120221992

Rock Pigeon Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.