BirdAnalyst
Guild · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Forest Birds In Nebraska

All statesNebraska

50 species in this guild. As a group they are +36%Guild trendA mean-index aggregate across the species in this group — the structural direction of the guild, with individual-species noise smoothed out.Full methodology → since 1969.

Guild SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for forest birds in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Forest Birds In Nebraska Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.3 (95% range 2.7–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+6%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.3Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.7–4.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±2.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Forest birds in Nebraska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.3 (95% range 2.7–4.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.32.73.9
20273.32.73.9
20283.32.73.9
20293.32.73.9
20303.32.74.0

Member Species In Nebraska

Forest birds species in Nebraska.
TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
Mountain BluebirdTurdidae-86%
Black-billed CuckooCuculidae-84%
Black-and-white WarblerParulidae-76%
Red CrossbillFringillidae-73%
Hairy WoodpeckerPicidae-57%
Carolina WrenTroglodytidae-55%
Lazuli BuntingCardinalidae-53%
Brown ThrasherMimidae-44%
Blue-gray GnatcatcherPolioptilidae-43%
OvenbirdParulidae-37%
Yellow-billed CuckooCuculidae-32%
Black-capped ChickadeeParidae-23%
Tufted TitmouseParidae-18%
Red-headed WoodpeckerPicidae-7%
Rose-breasted GrosbeakCardinalidae-5%
Gray CatbirdMimidae-1%
Wood ThrushTurdidae+2%
Blue JayCorvidae+7%
Eastern TowheePasserellidae+9%
Scarlet TanagerCardinalidae+16%
Common YellowthroatParulidae+18%
Rock WrenTroglodytidae+35%
Bullock's OrioleIcteridae+44%
Downy WoodpeckerPicidae+47%
Baltimore OrioleIcteridae+62%
American RedstartParulidae+63%
Red-breasted NuthatchSittidae+63%
American GoldfinchFringillidae+72%
Indigo BuntingCardinalidae+78%
Northern House WrenTroglodytidae+107%
American RobinTurdidae+112%
Marsh WrenTroglodytidae+121%
Field SparrowPasserellidae+139%
Northern CardinalCardinalidae+155%
Yellow-throated VireoVireonidae+165%
White-breasted NuthatchSittidae+212%
Warbling VireoVireonidae+213%
Black-headed GrosbeakCardinalidae+233%
Cedar WaxwingBombycillidae+246%
Eastern BluebirdTurdidae+296%
Blue GrosbeakCardinalidae+342%
Bell's VireoVireonidae+360%
Red-eyed VireoVireonidae+370%
Orchard OrioleIcteridae+410%
Red-bellied WoodpeckerPicidae+509%
Chipping SparrowPasserellidae+556%
Yellow-breasted ChatIcteriidae+630%
Song SparrowPasserellidae+638%
Yellow WarblerParulidae+756%
Spotted TowheePasserellidae13×

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.