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Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

White-breasted Nuthatch in Nebraska has surged: up 212% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+212%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
48Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-breasted Nuthatch Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Nebraska: up 212% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, White-breasted Nuthatch in Nebraska is projected to rise about 15% by 2030 — from 0.43 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.50 (95% range 0.20–0.79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+15%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.50Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.20–0.7995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±23%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-breasted Nuthatch in Nebraska is projected to rise about 15% by 2030 — from 0.43 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.50 (95% range 0.20–0.79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±23%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.480.180.77
20270.480.190.78
20280.490.190.78
20290.490.200.79
20300.500.200.79

White-breasted Nuthatch Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording White-breasted Nuthatch in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sparta620211978
Pine Ridge520251999
Almeria420141991
Midway420231967
Sumner319871987
Holbrook319891989
Brady320251990
Crawford320241986
Johnson220251971
Irvington220221967
Eagle Creek220221967
Crookston220252023
Bassett220252018
Tilden220252019
Hampton220252019
Murdock220252021
Julian120231971
Liberty119971970
Belvidere120241969
Seward120251980
Kenesaw120242024
Kearney120241978
Stratton120152015
Gretna120041987
Surprise120211970

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.