BirdAnalyst
Species · Georgia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Georgia

All statesForest birds

White-breasted Nuthatch in Georgia has surged: up 204% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

+204%Since 1974TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
68Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
52YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-breasted Nuthatch Trends in GeorgiaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Georgia: up 204% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Forecast in Georgia

If the recent trend holds, White-breasted Nuthatch in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.1 (95% range 0.68–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.68–1.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±37.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-breasted Nuthatch in Georgia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.1 (95% range 0.68–1.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.7%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.00.601.5
20261.10.621.5
20271.10.641.5
20281.10.661.5
20291.10.681.6

White-breasted Nuthatch Survey Routes in Georgia

Routes recording White-breasted Nuthatch in Georgia.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Baxter1420221976
Pleasant Hill1320242005
Mountain Cty1220241975
Ball Ground1020212019
Whitesburg920241995
Bowdon820241974
Cartersville720241986
Boston620241992
Davis Crossroads520212011
Baldwin420241984
Linwood420231980
Stockbridge420232006
Douglas419841984
Candler420242009
Amos Mill420222011
Crest320232003
Nashville319861986
Rutledge320241982
Juliette320242023
Stoney Point 2320242013
Kite Lake320232015
Yates Crossroads320242010
Stoney Point320072007
Hebron320222007
Cuthbert219711971

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.