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Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesForest birds

White-breasted Nuthatch in Oklahoma has surged: up 339% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+339%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
48Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-breasted Nuthatch Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-breasted Nuthatch has surged in Oklahoma: up 339% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, White-breasted Nuthatch in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 0.86 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.91–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+79%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.5Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.91–2.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±51.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-breasted Nuthatch in Oklahoma is projected to rise about 79% by 2029 — from 0.86 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.91–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.50.852.1
20261.50.872.1
20271.50.882.1
20281.50.902.2
20291.50.912.2

White-breasted Nuthatch Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording White-breasted Nuthatch in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pushmataha1120231994
Wichita Mtns1019941994
Heyburn920241992
Wichita Mtns East620222004
Baron520231967
Colcord520221992
Ouachita Nf420241991
Peoria420231968
Big Cedar320241967
Mcalester319901967
Phillips320061970
Beggs320231974
Barnsdall319771969
Pocola320161992
Mill Creek220181970
Ardmore220091971
Indianola220231968
Bethel220241993
Keetonville220221994
Jet220222007
Hee Mountain220242004
Blanco120161967
Loco119701970
Randlett120041974
Cookietown119951995

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.