BirdAnalyst
Species · New Hampshire · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in New Hampshire

All statesForest birds

White-breasted Nuthatch in New Hampshire has surged: up 234% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+234%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
26Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable White-breasted Nuthatch Trends in New HampshireNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

White-breasted Nuthatch has surged in New Hampshire: up 234% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Forecast in New Hampshire

If the recent trend holds, White-breasted Nuthatch in New Hampshire is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 5.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.8 (95% range 4.7–8.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+32%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.8Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.7–8.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, White-breasted Nuthatch in New Hampshire is projected to rise about 32% by 2029 — from 5.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.8 (95% range 4.7–8.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.44.48.4
20266.54.58.5
20276.64.68.6
20286.74.68.7
20296.84.78.8

White-breasted Nuthatch Survey Routes in New Hampshire

Routes recording White-breasted Nuthatch in New Hampshire.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Peterborough1320241966
East Kingston1320241999
Concord1120241966
Canterbury1120241966
Strafford1020241966
Dover920241966
Brentwood819981966
Gilmantn I W820241969
Hopkinton620241967
Wilmot620241969
Epsom520231966
Mt Chocorua520241966
Glen520231975
Fitzwilliam420241967
Walpole420241966
Marlow420241966
Franconia320241966
Dixvil Notch320161992
Dixville Notch 2220242019
Lempster120241971
Crawford Not119751966
Jefferson Hl120241968
Milan120241987
Stratford120211999
Clarksville120211975

White-breasted Nuthatch Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.