BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska has increased: up 27% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+27%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
72Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 5.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.0 (95% range 3.0–9.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.0Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.0–9.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±16.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 5.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 6.0 (95% range 3.0–9.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±16.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.03.09.1
20266.03.09.1
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20296.03.09.1

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Winside5420031967
Murdock3120242018
Wheeler Co1920241978
Paxton1620161967
Nenzel1520242018
Chambers1520232023
Surprise1420241968
Sparta1420211967
Madison1420192018
Winside 21320222005
Brownlee1120241990
Gretna1020181967
Bartlett1019721968
Johnstown1020241967
Tilden1020242019
Boelus1020182018
Thurston920241967
Lyons920242018
Irvington820241967
Richland820241968
Petersburg820231969
Humboldt820242018
Liberty720031967
Murray Lake720241989
Ponca720242018

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.