BirdAnalyst
Species · Nebraska · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Nebraska

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska has edged up: up 18% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+18%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
73Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in NebraskaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Nebraska

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska is projected to rise about 28% by 2030 — from 4.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.9 (95% range 2.9–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+28%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
5.9Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.9–9.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±22.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska is projected to rise about 28% by 2030 — from 4.6 in 2025 to a central estimate of 5.9 (95% range 2.9–9.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20265.92.99.0
20275.92.99.0
20285.92.99.0
20295.92.99.0
20305.92.99.0

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Nebraska

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Nebraska.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Winside5420031967
Sparta2320251967
Murdock2320252018
Wheeler Co2020251978
Chambers1920252023
Paxton1620161967
Crescent Lk1520251980
Tilden1320252019
Winside 21320222005
Thurston1120251967
Johnstown1120251967
Ponca1120252018
Gretna1020181967
Surprise1020251968
Bartlett1019721968
Boelus1020182018
Madison1020252018
Gretna 21020252019
Brownlee920251990
Lyons920252018
Petersburg820231969
Nenzel820252018
Liberty720031967
Midway720251967
Murray Lake720241989

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.