BirdAnalyst
Species · Nevada · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Nevada

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Nevada has surged: up 245% on the route-weighted index since 1992.

+245%Since 1992TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
23Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
35YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in NevadaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Common Yellowthroat has surged in Nevada: up 245% on the route-weighted index since 1992.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Nevada

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Nevada is projected to rise about 165% by 2030 — from 0.33 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.88 (95% range 0.07–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+165%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.88Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.07–1.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±44.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Nevada is projected to rise about 165% by 2030 — from 0.33 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.88 (95% range 0.07–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.860.051.7
20270.870.061.7
20280.870.061.7
20290.880.071.7
20300.880.071.7

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Nevada

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Nevada.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Virgin Creek520181995
Toiyabe Nf420242003
Ranchogrande320241992
Carson River320022002
Comins Lake220162015
Meadow Vally220251996
Beatty220251991
Midas120172017
Sand Pass119981998
Sheldon Nwr119951995
Cortez120242016
Austin120162013
Ash Meadows120251993
Ruby Valley 2120242004
Humboldt Nf 2120252024
Majors Place119961996
Gardnerville120041993
Willis120051994
Hiko120251968
Jarbidge120152013
Chimney Res.120232015
Fallon120082000
Gardnerville 2120152014

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.