Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in California
Common Yellowthroat in California has surged: up 922% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+922%Since 1970
123Routes In State
56Years
Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in California
long arc increasecomputed index
Common Yellowthroat has surged in California: up 922% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in California is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.89 (95% range 0.33–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-26%Change by 2029
0.89Projected 2029 index
0.33–1.595% range
±28.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.86 | 0.29 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.86 | 0.30 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.88 | 0.31 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.88 | 0.32 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.89 | 0.33 | 1.5 |
Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in California
| Jofegan 2 | 27 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Ora Loma | 17 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Alamo River | 15 | 2018 | 1973 |
| Cp. Pendleton | 15 | 2004 | 1972 |
| Imperial Dam | 12 | 2010 | 1973 |
| Dorris | 10 | 2019 | 1975 |
| Palo Verde | 9 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Staten Is. | 9 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Navarro | 7 | 1992 | 1991 |
| Poway | 7 | 1980 | 1974 |
| South Lake | 7 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Moreno | 6 | 2024 | 1985 |
| Niland | 6 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Jofegan | 6 | 2023 | 2006 |
| Harbor Lake 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Foster Park | 5 | 1994 | 1972 |
| San Ysidro | 5 | 2019 | 1973 |
| Point Reyes | 5 | 2023 | 1970 |
| Athlone | 5 | 1979 | 1975 |
| Glamis | 4 | 1977 | 1974 |
| Blythe | 4 | 1979 | 1973 |
| Fairfax | 3 | 2024 | 1985 |
| El Toro | 3 | 1999 | 1980 |
| Cuyamaca Pk | 3 | 2024 | 2017 |
| Elizabeth Lk | 3 | 2016 | 1981 |
Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.