BirdAnalyst
Species · Florida · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Florida has edged down: down 12% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-12%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
120Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Florida. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 11 (95% range 4.4–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.4–1895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 11 (95% range 4.4–18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025124.819
2026124.719
2027124.619
2028124.519
2029114.418

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Clewiston11120232015
Holey Land11120241987
Osceola9420241991
Olustee5520221992
Andytown5419981974
Bloxham5420221987
Ft Gadsden4120241969
Apalachicola4020241987
Shawano3920021987
Broad Branch3820241967
Tamiami3819741966
Goethe3720242010
St Vincent I3720241995
Pinecrest3420241966
Green Swamp3320241987
Babcock Rnch3119901988
Alligator Pt2920241987
Nixon2819861985
Blackwater2720241987
Lovedale2520111987
Port St Joe2320141967
Port St Joe 22320192015
Shawano 22020112004
Flamingo1620241983
Gardner1519991987

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.