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Species · Florida · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Florida

All statesForest birds

Common Yellowthroat in Florida has edged down: down 12% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-12%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
120Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Common Yellowthroat Trends in FloridaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Common Yellowthroat in Florida. See the full index history below.

Common Yellowthroat Population Forecast in Florida

If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Florida is projected to fall about 21% by 2030 — from 15 in 2025 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 4.6–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-21%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
12Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.6–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Common Yellowthroat in Florida is projected to fall about 21% by 2030 — from 15 in 2025 to a central estimate of 12 (95% range 4.6–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026124.919
2027124.819
2028124.719
2029124.619
2030124.619

Common Yellowthroat Survey Routes in Florida

Routes recording Common Yellowthroat in Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Holey Land14120251987
Olustee11920251992
Clewiston11120232015
Andytown5419981974
Osceola5420251991
Goethe4820252010
Broad Branch4020251967
Ft Gadsden4020251969
Shawano3920021987
Apalachicola3920251987
Tamiami3819741966
Bloxham3620251987
Alligator Pt3320251987
Babcock Rnch3119901988
Green Swamp3020251987
Nixon2819861985
Pinecrest2620251966
Lovedale2520111987
Flamingo2420251983
Port St Joe2320141967
Port St Joe 22320192015
St Vincent I2120251995
Indiantown 22020252018
Shawano 22020112004
Steinhatchee1620251966

Common Yellowthroat Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.